Wednesday, May 1, 2013

Will Yamana Gold Beat These Analyst Estimates?

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY  ) is expected to report Q1 earnings on April 30. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Yamana Gold's revenues will wither -0.2% and EPS will drop -24.0%.

The average estimate for revenue is $558.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.19.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Yamana Gold chalked up revenue of $629.5 million. GAAP reported sales were 11% higher than the prior-year quarter's $568.8 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.26. GAAP EPS of $0.22 for Q4 were 83% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.12 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 67.1%, 150 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 40.2%, 180 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 26.9%, much better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $2.69 billion. The average EPS estimate is $0.96.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 3,696 members out of 3,836 rating the stock outperform, and 140 members rating it underperform. Among 525 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 485 give Yamana Gold a green thumbs-up, and 40 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Yamana Gold is outperform, with an average price target of $23.93.

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